Bob’s #GoldCup pick at the #cheltenhamfestival

Okay so today has gone well, both the horses I picked came in. Baz did better as well, so no need to bet on politics tonight!

Just the Gold Cup left for me, I don’t focus on the other races on the last day.

3:30 – Gold Cup

The historical stats actually do a good job of bringing out a leading contender. Being a precious distance or course winner does not seem to actually make any difference here. Placing on the same going is preferable as is winning last time out between Dec-Feb. The current favourite Presenting Percy has not placed on Good to Soft, is not Irish and doesn’t have any Sadler’s Wells DNA in him. Native River and Thistlecrack did not win last time out and Thistlecrack is getting a bit old to win as no horse over 9 years old has won this the last 10 times out. Might Bite promises much and has not delivered lately and I cannot see that changing in this field. So who am I going for …….

BELSHILL is 9 years old, has an OR of 165+, won last time out in February, is Irish, placed on Good to Soft and has Sadler’s Wells pedigree. The SP is also in the right area. Ruby Walsh is in the seat and looking for another win.

So there you go another years worth of sifting through reams of data is nearly over! Good luck to whoever you bet on.

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