Friday Feeling Bob looks at #Ascotraces

Last day of term ahead!!!!!!!! Friday feeling is nearly here.

Okay, settle down Bob….

1.55 Ascot – The Kennel Gate (Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle)

Using the betting guide things are looking quite tight amongst the first few horses. Thomas Darby, Angels Breath and Danny Kirwan all tick the boxes of the historical stats. Angels Breath is somewhat untested at this distance but I cannot believe that Nicky Henderson would enter it if the distance was too much. However, Thomas Darby and Danny Kirwan have both won at the distance before although the going might be against them! As the historical starting price for winners is 3-1 or below I shall have to go for the favourite this time THOMAS DARBY.

I also reckon that THISTLE DO NICELY would make a good each way bet. A distance winner, won last time out and the right age according to the historical stats, certainly worth more than the 16/1 at the time of writing.

1pt Win – THOMAS DARBY

0.5pt E/W – THISTLE DO NICELY

2.30 Noel Novices Chase

From the betting guide it looks as though it is going to be a two horse race between Vinndication and Count Meribel. Both are Distance, Going and course winners and won last time out this season. VINNDICATION however has far more consistency over the distance and going, Count Meribel only winning 2 out of 9 races on soft ground against 100% from Vinndication. Likewise, Vinnidication has not lost over this distance yet but Count Meribel has.

1pt win – VINNDICATION

One comment

  1. Well, I said Henderson would not have put in Angels Breath unless he knew it would stay the distance. Pity the going was a bit too heavy for Thomas Darby maybe next time. The each way bet was nearly there and if you went for extra places it would have been.

    Better luck had with Vinndication, which stayed on well at the end.

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