Bob uses Jockey stats today at #wincantonraces

The favourite stats worked as well as expected at Ayr yesterday but not at Thirsk where I think the favourites were a little green certainly out of the stalls. So it predicted the 1:25 Handicap Chase at 5/2 and the 3:00 Novice Chase at 2/1. Might keep an eye on it for the future.

Sadly again there are no viable horses via the strike rate / win return criteria today.

So I will take a look at Jockeys rather than Trainers.

Harry Cobden at Wincanton has a strike rate of 30% and win return of 118%, his place strike rate is over 50% with a positive win return as well. He rides 3 horses at Wincanton today:

  • 2:25 San Satiro (Paul Nicholls) 12/1
  • 3:00 Bally Longford (Colin Tizzard) 9/2
  • 5:10 Mister Tummytucks (Paul Nicholls) 7/1

Paul Nicholls has the far better strike rate and win return so probably better to plump with his horses rather than Tizzards. Looking at the odds probably best to exploit Cobden’s 50%+ place strike rate.

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