Category: Uncategorised

Bob with a pick at #leicesterraces and a system change

The lack of bets has made me reconsider the strike rate % which at the moment stands at 30%. With the increased filtering it should cut out too many problems if we go to 25%. Today I used exactly that to pick 2x Skelton winners so I think we will run with it from now on.

Typically even with the lowering of the % I can only find one bet for tomorrow.

Leicester – R Beckett 38% Strike Rate 274% Win Return

  • 8:45 Fearless Warrior 4/1

A few tips from Bob at #Perthraces and #Fontwellraces on Thursday

Well Igor had it wrapped up until the last hurdle. Oh well.

Anyway, I have managed to get more than one tip today! Just.

Perth – D Pipe 39% Strike Rate 136% Win Return

  • 4:15 Legal History 10/11 (2pt bet) [Placed last time out]

Fontwell – P Nicholls 36% Strike Rate 100% Win Return

  • 7:15 Wonderful Champ 8/11 (2pt Bet) [Placed at least once in the last 3 races, didn’t place last time but this is way back down in class]
  • 7:15 Southfield Vic 6/4 (2pt Bet) [Don’t think this one will actually race as it won today at Newton Abbot]

Bob with a single at #newtonabbotraces

No surprise that Barbados Blue did win the last race tipped but it didn’t really get us anywhere.

Struggling to find bets before the filtering at the moment, a lot of trainers not running horses at their better tracks. However, I do have another Henderson one to give a go.

Newton Abbot – N Henderson Strike rate 37% Win Return 118%

  • 3:55 Igor 6/5 (2pt Bet) – Placed in one out of the last 3 races. Didn’t place last time but has gone down a class.

Baz looking at long-shots in the big handicaps #Ascotraces #Haydockraces

The 4:00PM at Ascot is a large flat handicap over 7f on sticky testing ground. Therefore I’m looking towards the bottom of the weights as stats suggest a good return against SP for this scenario.

0.5pt e/w TAUREAN STAR fits the bill exactly and has form on sticky ground at Goodwood. Form is a concern hence the hopeful 25-1 SP but there are excuses wrt surfaces and the drop in weight make this a worthy punt.

If your looking for something more proven then I cannot resist my usual punt on RIPP ORF who won this race last year and has about as much chance as any of managing it again.

0.5pt e/w RIPP ORF 4PM Ascot

0.5pt e/w TAUREAN STAR 4PM Ascot

At Haydock the 3:10 I’ve boiled it down to a three way split between FLYING TIGER, CHRISTOPHER WOOD and JOHN CONSTABLE. The latter won last year but has been off form preceding a recent wind-op. The middle one has a good record with current trainer and has to be feared at time of writing as the ATR market movers page shows it 27% green. The long-shot FLYING TIGER is in receipt of weight all round and at 20-1 probably the safest play in a very capable field.

0.5pt e/w FLYING TIGER 3:10 Haydock

0.5pt e/w JOHN CONSTABLE 3:10 Haydock

Bob feeling lonely with one tip at #warwickraces

Not having much luck with the Bin Suroor horses lately, hopefully that will change soon as the stats are good.

Henderson has a lot of horses running at Warwick today but only one of any real note that qualifies through the version 2 betting system.

Warwick – N Henderson 33% Strike Rate 111% Win Return

  • 8:30 Hurling Magic 5/2

#Chesterraces for a win with Bob!

Nice win with Butlergrove King today, started out at 13/8 which made it a 2 point bet and then it drifted out to 4/1! Lets see what Wednesday has to offer. Have had to discount a lot as they did not fit the new parameters.

Chester – A P O’Brien 40% Strike Rate 107% Win Return

  • 2:25 Secret Thought 3/1
  • 3:35 Norway 3/1